“发展我国租赁,既要借鉴、学习外国的有益方式,更要善于总结自身的实际经验,要从我国的实际情况出发,走出一条具有中国特色的租赁路子来。”

------荣毅仁
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2016年7月设备融资租赁业信心指数稳定

  The Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation (the Foundation) releases the July 2016 Monthly Confidence Index for the Equipment Finance Industry (MCI-EFI) today. Designed to collect leadership data, the index reports a qualitative assessment of both the prevailing business conditions and expectations for the future as reported by key executives from the $1 trillion equipment finance sector. Overall, confidence in the equipment finance market is 52.5, remaining steady with the June index of 52.3. 
  
  美国设备融资租赁基金会公布2016年7月美国设备融资业月度信心指数 (MCI-EFI)。该指数通过收集该行业领导层数据,对拥有1万亿美元行业资本的设备融资业各企业主要高管给出的普遍经营状况和未来期望做了定性评估。总体而言,7月份美国设备融资市场信心指数为52.5,与6月的52.3持平
  
  When asked about the outlook for the future, MCI-EFI survey respondent Anthony Cracchiolo, President and CEO, U.S. Bank Equipment Finance, said, “The industry continues to be stable and positioned for growth as the U.S. economy improves. However, challenges remain as the expansion remains slow and as low interest rates continue to apply pressure to the industry’s bottom line.” 
  
  当被问及美国设备融资租赁业未来发展前景时,MCI-EFI调查对象,U.S. Bank Equipment Finance董事长兼CEO, Anthony Cracchiolo表示:“随着美国经济发展,租赁业保持稳定增长。但是,行业扩张缓慢,低利率持续给行业底线加压,所以挑战依然存在。”
  
  July 2016 Survey Results:
  
  2016年7月调查结果:
  
  The overall MCI-EFI is 52.5, steady with the June index of 52.3.
  
  2016年7月份的总体MCI-EFI为52.5,与2016年6月份的52.3持平。
  
  ?   When asked to assess their business conditions over the next four months, 12.1% of executives responding said they believe business conditions will improve over the next four months, an increase from 9.4% in June.  75.8% of respondents believe business conditions will remain the same over the next four months, an increase from 68.8% in June.  12.1% believe business conditions will worsen, a decrease from 21.9% the previous month.
  
  当被问及如何评价未来四个月经营状况时,12.1%的受访高管认为未来四个月的经营状况将得到改善,较6月的9.4%有所上升。75.8%的受访者认为未来四个月的经营状况将保持原状,高于6月的68.8%。12.1%的受访者认为经营状况会变糟,较上个月的21.9%有所下降。
  
  ?   12.1% of survey respondents believe demand for leases and loans to fund capital expenditures (capex) will increase over the next four months, an increase from 6.3% in June.  57.6% believe demand will “remain the same” during the same four-month time period, down from 71.9% the previous month.  30.3% believe demand will decline, an increase from 21.9% who believed so in June. 
  
  12.1%的受访者认为未来四个月通过租赁和贷款获得资本支出(capex)的需求会上升,高于6月的6.3%。57.6%的受访者认为四个月内的需求不会改变,低于上个月的71.9%。30.3%的受访者认为四个月内月需求会下降,高于6月的21.9%。
  
  ?   15.2% of executives expect more access to capital to fund equipment acquisitions over the next four months, relatively unchanged from 15.6% in June.  78.8% of survey respondents indicate they expect the “same” access to capital to fund business, a decrease from 81.3% the previous month.  6.1% expect “less” access to capital, an increase from 3.1% last month. 
  
  15.2%的高管期望未来四个月获得的设备采购资金增多,较6月的15.6%没有太大变化。78.8%的受访者期望未来四个月获得的设备采购资金不变,较6月的81.3%有所下滑。6.1%的受访者预测获得的设备采购资金减少,较上个月的3.1%有所上升。
  
  ?   When asked, 30.3% of the executives report they expect to hire more employees over the next four months, a decrease from 37.5% in June.  63.6% expect no change in headcount over the next four months, an increase from 56.3% last month.  6.1% expect to hire fewer employees, unchanged from June.
  
  30.3%的受访高管预测未来四个月雇佣更多的员工,较6月的37.5%有所下降。63.6%的受访高管预测未来四个月员工总数不变,与上个月的56.3%有所上升。6.1%的受访高管计划减少员工数量,较6月没有变化。
  
  ?   None of the leadership evaluates the current U.S. economy as “excellent,” unchanged from last month.  100.0% of the leadership evaluate the current U.S. economy as “fair,” an increase from 96.9% last month. None evaluates it as “poor,” a decrease from 3.1% in June.
  
  没有受访高管评估当下美国经济形势“极好”,较上个月没有变化。100%的受访高管认为当前美国经济形势“一般”,较6月的96.9%有所上升。没有高管认为当前美国经济形势“差”,较上个月的3.1%有所下降。
  
  ?   3.0% of the survey respondents believe that U.S. economic conditions will get “better” over the next six months, a decrease from 6.5% in June.  78.8% of survey respondents indicate they believe the U.S. economy will “stay the same” over the next six months, an increase from 75.0% the previous month. 18.2% believe economic conditions in the U.S. will worsen over the next six months, a slight decrease from 18.8% who believed so last month. 
  
  3.0%的受访者认为未来六个月美国济状况会“更好”,低于6月的6.5%。78.8%的受访者认为未来六个月美国经济状况“不变”,较6月的75.0%有所上升。18.2%受访者认为未来六个月美国经济状况会“变差”,较上个月的18.8%稍有下滑。
  
  ?   In July, 36.4% of respondents indicate they believe their company will increase spending on business development activities during the next six months, an increase from 31.3% in June.  60.6% believe there will be “no change” in business development spending, a decrease from 68.8% the previous month.  3.0% believe there will be a decrease in spending, an increase from none who believed so last month. 
  
  7月,36.4%的受访者预计未来六个月他们所在的公司会增加用于业务发展的支出,高于6月的31.3%。60.6%的受访者认为未来六个月所在公司的业务发展支出不变,较上个月的68.8%有所下滑。3.0%的受访者认为未来六个月所在公司会减少业务发展支出,较上个月的零比例有所上升。 
  
  料来源:美国设备融资租赁基金会
  
  翻译:国租赁联联盟、天津滨海融资租赁研究院  张  媛
  
  编审:中国租赁联盟、天津滨海融资租赁研究院  季健霞

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